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Forecast
UFC ยท 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
54.5%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
45.5%
Conor McGregor 54.5% Draw 0% Max Holloway 45.5%
Predicted winner Conor McGregor
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 54.5% ยท Max Holloway 45.5%
Based on 209 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC ยท 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
59.4%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
40.6%
Dricus du Plessis 59.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 40.6%
Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 59.4% ยท Kamaru Usman 40.6%
Based on 64 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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History

8,071 Games
1936-06-19
Joe Louis
โ€“
Max Schmeling
1935-09-24
Joe Louis
โ€“
Max Baer
1935-09-24
Joe Louis
โ€“
Max Baer
1935-09-24
Joe Louis
โ€“
Max Baer
1935-06-13
James J. Braddock
โ€“
Max Baer
1935-06-13
James J. Braddock
โ€“
Max Baer
1935-06-13
Max Baer
โ€“
James J. Braddock
1934-06-14
Max Baer
โ€“
Primo Carnera
1934-06-14
Max Baer
โ€“
Primo Carnera
1934-06-14
Primo Carnera
โ€“
Max Baer
1933-06-29
Primo Carnera
โ€“
Jack Sharkey
1933-06-29
Primo Carnera
โ€“
Jack Sharkey