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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.6%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.4%

Conor McGregor 55.6% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.4%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.6% · Max Holloway 44.4%

Based on 180 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

55.2%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

44.8%

Dricus du Plessis 55.2% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 55.2% · Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Based on 58 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 6,071

2010-11-13

Manny Pacquiao

–

Antonio Margarito

2010-11-13

Erislandy Lara

–

Delvin Rodriguez

2010-11-06

Robert Guerrero

–

Vicente Escobedo

2010-10-30

Arthur Abraham

–

Carl Froch

2010-10-30

Arthur Abraham

–

Carl Froch

2010-10-30

Sebastian Sylvester

–

Mahir Oral

2010-10-23

Georges St-Pierre

–

Josh Koscheck

2010-10-16

Vitali Klitschko

–

Shannon Briggs

2010-10-16

Vitali Klitschko

–

Shannon Briggs

2010-10-16

Jermell Charlo

–

John Thompson

2010-09-18

Shane Mosley

–

Sergio Mora

2010-09-18

Canelo Alvarez

–

Carlos Baldomir