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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.6%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.4%

Conor McGregor 55.6% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.4%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.6% · Max Holloway 44.4%

Based on 180 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

55.2%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

44.8%

Dricus du Plessis 55.2% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 55.2% · Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Based on 58 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 6,066

2011-04-09

Robert Guerrero

–

Michael Katsidis

2011-03-26

Yuriorkis Gamboa

–

Jorge Solis

2011-03-19

Vitali Klitschko

–

Odlanier Solis

2011-03-19

Vitali Klitschko

–

Odlanier Solis

2011-03-19

Terence Crawford

–

Chris Van Heerden

2011-03-12

Miguel Cotto

–

Ricardo Mayorga

2011-03-05

Zab Judah

–

Kaizer Mabuza

2011-03-05

Canelo Alvarez

–

Matthew Hatton

2011-03-05

Zab Judah

–

Kaizer Mabuza

2011-03-05

Canelo Alvarez

–

Matthew Hatton

2011-02-26

Alexander Povetkin

–

Nicolai Firtha

2011-02-26

Alexander Povetkin

–

Nicolai Firtha