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Forecast

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.6%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.4%

Conor McGregor 55.6% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.4%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.6% · Max Holloway 44.4%

Based on 180 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

55.2%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

44.8%

Dricus du Plessis 55.2% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 55.2% · Kamaru Usman 44.8%

Based on 58 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 6,070

2011-07-09

Frankie Edgar

–

Gray Maynard

2011-07-02

Wladimir Klitschko

–

David Haye

2011-07-02

Wladimir Klitschko

–

David Haye

2011-07-02

Wladimir Klitschko

–

David Haye

2011-07-02

Wladimir Klitschko

–

David Haye

2011-06-25

Tavoris Cloud

–

Glen Johnson

2011-06-18

Canelo Alvarez

–

Ryan Rhodes

2011-06-18

Jermell Charlo

–

Cornelius Bundrage

2011-06-04

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

–

Sebastian Zbik

2011-06-04

Sebastian Zbik

–

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

2011-06-04

Diego Sanchez

–

Martin Kampmann

2011-05-28

Carl Froch

–

Glen Johnson