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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

45%

Conor McGregor 55% Draw 0% Max Holloway 45%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55% · Max Holloway 45%

Based on 180 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

55.9%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

44.1%

Dricus du Plessis 55.9% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 44.1%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 55.9% · Kamaru Usman 44.1%

Based on 59 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 6,116

2013-04-13

Guillermo Rigondeaux

–

Nonito Donaire

2013-04-13

Guillermo Rigondeaux

–

Nonito Donaire

2013-03-30

Edwin Valero

–

Hector Velazquez

2013-03-30

Gennady Golovkin

–

Nobuhiro Ishida

2013-03-30

Edwin Valero

–

Hector Velazquez

2013-03-30

Gennady Golovkin

–

Nobuhiro Ishida

2013-03-16

Timothy Bradley

–

Ruslan Provodnikov

2013-03-16

Timothy Bradley

–

Ruslan Provodnikov

2013-03-16

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

–

Juan Vargas

2013-03-16

Johny Hendricks

–

Carlos Condit

2013-03-16

Georges St-Pierre

–

Nick Diaz

2013-03-09

Bernard Hopkins

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