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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

1977-09-17

Sugar Ray Leonard

–

Marty Marshall

1977-08-27

Marvin Hagler

–

Terry Downes

1977-08-20

Sugar Ray Seales

–

Eddie Mustafa Muhammad

1977-06-17

Marvin Hagler

–

Derrick Tobin

1977-06-11

John H. Stracey

–

Maurice Boucher

1976-12-10

Muhammad Ali

–

Jimmy Young

1976-11-05

Ken Norton

–

Ron Lyle

1976-10-01

Thomas Hearns

–

Alfonso Frazier

1976-08-20

Sugar Ray Seales

–

Eddie Mustafa Muhammad

1976-06-11

John H. Stracey

–

Maurice Boucher

1976-01-13

Marvin Hagler

–

Tony Ayala

1975-12-10

Muhammad Ali

–

Joe Bugner