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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

1978-10-28

Muhammad Ali

–

Leon Spinks

1978-10-20

Thomas Hearns

–

Enrique Bandela

1978-08-26

Marvin Hagler

–

Eddie Mustafa Muhammad

1978-08-18

Sugar Ray Seales

–

Maurice Hope

1978-04-21

Miguel Canto

–

Alejandro Martinez

1978-03-18

John H. Stracey

–

Maurice Boucher

1978-01-20

Alex Ramos

–

Juan Naranjo

1977-12-10

Larry Holmes

–

Alonzo Johnson

1977-12-10

Muhammad Ali

–

Earnie Shavers

1977-11-05

Ken Norton

–

Ron Lyle

1977-10-29

Muhammad Ali

–

Earnie Shavers

1977-10-01

Thomas Hearns

–

Alfonso Frazier