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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2011-03-19

Terence Crawford

–

Chris Van Heerden

2011-02-19

Naoya Inoue

–

Daisuke Narimatsu

2011-02-05

Anderson Silva

–

Vitor Belfort

2011-01-22

David Benavidez

–

Gabriel Rosado

2010-12-11

Rich Franklin

–

Chuck Liddell

2010-11-20

Wanderlei Silva

–

Michael Bisping

2010-11-13

Erislandy Lara

–

Delvin Rodriguez

2010-10-23

Georges St-Pierre

–

Josh Koscheck

2010-10-16

Jermell Charlo

–

John Thompson

2010-09-18

Miguel Cotto

–

Marco Antonio Barrera

2010-08-21

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Rakhim Chakhkiev

2010-08-01

Clay Guida

–

Rafael dos Anjos