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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2012-01-21

Dmitry Bivol

–

Vladimir Shishkin

2011-12-30

Donald Cerrone

–

Nate Diaz

2011-12-10

Terence Crawford

–

Rances Barthelemy

2011-12-10

Jon Jones

–

Lyoto Machida

2011-11-12

Miguel Cotto

–

Anthony Oguma

2011-10-15

Naoya Inoue

–

Jermaine Frierson

2011-10-08

Frankie Edgar

–

Gray Maynard

2011-10-01

Dominick Cruz

–

Demetrious Johnson

2011-09-17

David Benavidez

–

Anthony Figueroa

2011-09-10

Gray Maynard

–

Frankie Edgar

2011-08-27

Charles Oliveira

–

Donald Cerrone

2011-08-20

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

–

Juan Carlos Rodriguez