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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2012-05-12

Wladimir Klitschko

–

Tony Thompson

2012-05-05

Johny Hendricks

–

Josh Koscheck

2012-05-05

Nate Diaz

–

Jim Miller

2012-04-21

Jon Jones

–

Rashad Evans

2012-04-14

Erislandy Lara

–

Delvin Rodriguez

2012-03-17

Jermell Charlo

–

John Thompson

2012-03-03

Martin Kampmann

–

Thiago Alves

2012-02-26

Benson Henderson

–

Frankie Edgar

2012-02-18

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Rakhim Chakhkiev

2012-02-04

Dustin Poirier

–

Max Holloway

2012-02-04

Carlos Condit

–

Nick Diaz

2012-01-28

Chael Sonnen

–

Michael Bisping