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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2012-11-10

Dmitry Bivol

–

Maxim Bursak

2012-10-13

Anderson Silva

–

Stephan Bonnar

2012-10-06

Terence Crawford

–

Yordenis Ugas

2012-09-22

Martin Kampmann

–

Thiago Alves

2012-09-22

Jon Jones

–

Vitor Belfort

2012-09-15

Naoya Inoue

–

Ricardo Cordoba

2012-08-18

David Benavidez

–

Gabriel Rosado

2012-08-11

Benson Henderson

–

Frankie Edgar

2012-07-07

Miguel Cotto

–

Juan Carlos Payano

2012-07-07

Anderson Silva

–

Chael Sonnen

2012-06-23

Rich Franklin

–

Wanderlei Silva

2012-06-22

Gray Maynard

–

Clay Guida