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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2013-03-16

Georges St-Pierre

–

Nick Diaz

2013-02-23

Robbie Lawler

–

Josh Koscheck

2013-02-23

Lyoto Machida

–

Dan Henderson

2013-02-16

Erislandy Lara

–

Paul Smith

2013-02-02

Jose Aldo

–

Frankie Edgar

2013-01-26

Jermell Charlo

–

Austin Trout

2013-01-26

Quinton Jackson

–

Glover Teixeira

2013-01-19

Vitor Belfort

–

Michael Bisping

2012-12-08

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Andrii Kovalchuk

2012-12-08

Benson Henderson

–

Nate Diaz

2012-11-17

Johny Hendricks

–

Martin Kampmann

2012-11-17

Georges St-Pierre

–

Carlos Condit