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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2013-07-06

Frankie Edgar

–

Charles Oliveira

2013-07-06

Chris Weidman

–

Anderson Silva

2013-06-15

Terence Crawford

–

Viktor Postol

2013-06-15

Rashad Evans

–

Dan Henderson

2013-05-25

Naoya Inoue

–

Takashi Uchiyama

2013-05-18

Vitor Belfort

–

Luke Rockhold

2013-05-04

Wladimir Klitschko

–

Francesco Pianeta

2013-04-27

Jon Jones

–

Chael Sonnen

2013-04-20

David Benavidez

–

Juan Macias Montiel

2013-04-20

Nate Diaz

–

Alex Caceres

2013-03-16

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

–

Juan Vargas

2013-03-16

Johny Hendricks

–

Carlos Condit