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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2013-11-16

Chael Sonnen

–

Rashad Evans

2013-11-16

Georges St-Pierre

–

Johny Hendricks

2013-11-09

Vitor Belfort

–

Dan Henderson

2013-10-26

Jermell Charlo

–

John Thompson

2013-09-28

Miguel Cotto

–

Jorge Arce

2013-09-21

Frankie Edgar

–

Charles Oliveira

2013-09-04

Rafael dos Anjos

–

Donald Cerrone

2013-08-28

Court McGee

–

Robert Whittaker

2013-08-28

Carlos Condit

–

Martin Kampmann

2013-08-28

Johny Hendricks

–

Robbie Lawler

2013-08-24

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Rakhim Chakhkiev

2013-07-20

Dmitry Bivol

–

Dominic Boesch