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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2014-03-29

Terence Crawford

–

Chris Van Heerden

2014-03-15

Robbie Lawler

–

Johny Hendricks

2014-03-15

Johny Hendricks

–

Robbie Lawler

2014-02-22

Naoya Inoue

–

Daisuke Narimatsu

2014-01-25

David Benavidez

–

Gabriel Rosado

2013-12-28

Ronda Rousey

–

Miesha Tate

2013-12-28

Chris Weidman

–

Anderson Silva

2013-11-30

Nikita Krylov

–

Ovince Saint Preux

2013-11-30

Nate Diaz

–

Gray Maynard

2013-11-30

Ronda Rousey

–

Miesha Tate

2013-11-30

Chris Weidman

–

Anderson Silva

2013-11-16

Erislandy Lara

–

Delvin Rodriguez