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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2014-05-31

Khabib Nurmagomedov

–

Rafael dos Anjos

2014-05-31

Nate Diaz

–

Rafael dos Anjos

2014-05-31

Chris Weidman

–

Vitor Belfort

2014-05-24

Nikita Krylov

–

Walt Harris

2014-05-24

Max Holloway

–

Andre Fili

2014-05-24

Rafael dos Anjos

–

Donald Cerrone

2014-05-17

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Andrii Kovalchuk

2014-05-03

Wladimir Klitschko

–

Alex Leapai

2014-04-26

Luke Rockhold

–

Michael Bisping

2014-04-26

Jon Jones

–

Glover Teixeira

2014-04-19

Dmitry Bivol

–

Maxim Bursak

2014-04-11

Rashad Evans

–

Dan Henderson