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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,864

2014-09-27

Nikita Krylov

–

Walt Harris

2014-09-27

Conor McGregor

–

Dustin Poirier

2014-08-30

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

–

Juan Carlos Rodriguez

2014-08-23

Glover Teixeira

–

Ovince Saint Preux

2014-08-02

Chris Weidman

–

Lyoto Machida

2014-07-26

Erislandy Lara

–

Alfredo Angulo

2014-07-26

Daniel Cormier

–

Dan Henderson

2014-06-21

Jermell Charlo

–

Cornelius Bundrage

2014-06-14

Stephen Thompson

–

Robert Whittaker

2014-06-14

Kamaru Usman

–

Leon Edwards

2014-06-14

Matt Brown

–

Robbie Lawler

2014-05-31

Alexandre Pantoja

–

Deiveson Figueiredo