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Forecast
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
54.8%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
44.6%
Conor McGregor 54.8% Draw 0.5% Max Holloway 44.6%
Predicted winner Conor McGregor
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.1% Β· Max Holloway 44.9%
Based on 186 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
54.1%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
45.9%
Dricus du Plessis 54.1% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 45.9%
Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 54.1% Β· Kamaru Usman 45.9%
Based on 61 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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