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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.2%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.8%

Conor McGregor 55.2% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.8%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.2% · Max Holloway 44.8%

Based on 116 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

56.4%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

43.6%

Dricus du Plessis 56.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 56.4% · Kamaru Usman 43.6%

Based on 39 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 10,034

2011-12-10

Bolton Wanderers

1–2

Aston Villa

2011-12-10

Arsenal

1–0

Everton

2011-12-10

Manchester United

4–1

Wolverhampton Wanderers

2011-12-10

Werder Bremen

4–1

VfL Wolfsburg

2011-12-09

Hertha BSC

1–2

FC Schalke 04

2011-12-07

Villarreal CF

0–2

SSC Napoli

2011-12-05

Fulham

1–0

Liverpool

2011-12-04

Everton

0–1

Stoke City

2011-12-04

Wolverhampton Wanderers

2–1

Sunderland

2011-12-04

Hamburger SV

2–0

FC Nürnberg

2011-12-03

Tottenham Hotspur

3–0

Bolton Wanderers

2011-12-03

Newcastle United

0–3

Chelsea