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Forecast
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
54.5%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
45.5%
Conor McGregor 54.5% Draw 0% Max Holloway 45.5%
Predicted winner Conor McGregor
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 54.5% Β· Max Holloway 45.5%
Based on 209 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
59.4%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
40.6%
Dricus du Plessis 59.4% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 40.6%
Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 59.4% Β· Kamaru Usman 40.6%
Based on 64 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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History

10,034 Games
2023-12-04
Torino FC
3–0
Atalanta
2023-12-03
Sevilla FC
1–1
Villarreal CF
2023-12-03
Udinese Calcio
3–3
Hellas Verona
2023-12-03
Monaco
2–0
Montpellier HSC
2023-12-03
Le Havre AC
0–2
Paris Saint-Germain
2023-12-03
Manchester City
3–3
Tottenham Hotspur
2023-12-03
Liverpool
4–3
Fulham
2023-12-03
Chelsea
3–2
Brighton & Hove Albion
2023-12-03
Rangers F.C
3–2
Standard Liège
2023-12-03
SL Benfica
4–0
Lech PoznaΕ„
2023-12-02
FC Nantes
1–0
OGC Nice
2023-12-02
Newcastle United
1–0
Manchester United